![]() |
![]() |
The Real McCoy Retires, Too-Complex Complexity, Astrology in Finland, Murdered Worms, Another Geller Lawsuit?, A Really Bending Fork, and Van Praagh Is Coming!
But now Bob is retiring, after a long service to the public. He's given the collection to the Science Museum in the Twin Cities, and will continue to share his fine wit and bizarre stories with the public by periodically giving presentations on the devices when they're put on display at the museum in late March. Bob McCoy has always been one of the leading opponents of quackery, has lectured all over the world on the subject, and is a good friend of the JREF. We are happy to know that his collection will be going to a proper museum and will be thus preserved. Thank you, Bob, for your service to the rational world and your dedication to truth.
As promised last week, here is Part One of a fascinating article. Dorion Sagan is an accomplished sleight-of-hand artist in the "advanced amateur" class, and it was that fact that first brought us together. I don't recall whether I was by that time acquainted with his father Carl, but I was certainly impressed with his consummate handling of the paste-boards, otherwise known as a deck of cards. He kindly agreed to put together, along with Columbia University paleontologist-to-be Jessica Whiteside (otherwise known as "Jeka"), the following observations on aspects of scientific thinking in regard to A gentle warning: the average reader of SWIFT will find this heavy going, in parts. We are moving up a notch with this publication, which is devoted to informing readers of how they can think about and deal with the plethora of absurdities with which we are being bombarded. Working through this article will be anything but easy, but I suggest that it should be encouraged. Don't balk at the "Belousov-Zhabotinski reaction" nor the "hexagonal convection cells, called Bénard cells," you will soon be handling, nor Goldilocks and those who move compass needles with hidden magnets. It's all designed to help dispel the popular notion that even science supports the view that life and in particular, human life enjoys an existence due to some special supernatural intervention or magical influence. We are, rather, the results of wonderful natural processes that have taken place over very long periods of time, and vast cosmic interactions; and that in itself should make us fiercely proud knowing that we were not fashioned by a divine Gepetto to be manipulated by strings in the hands of cruel, jealous, vindictive, deities and their acolytes. We thank authors Sagan and Whiteside for their generosity to SWIFT. Now, sit back and fasten your seat-belts. It's going to be a bumpy, but very stimulating, ride....
A Skeptical View of "The Sciences of Complexity" by Dorion Sagan & Jessica Whiteside. End of Part One. Part Two will appear next week....
My friend Mogens Winther sends me an interesting item from Denmark. Astrology is very big in that part of the world, and we've had interesting discussion about Denmark's International Society of Business Astrologers (ISBA) about whom you can read at: www.skeptica.dk/mw/astrologi/randi.htm. As a result of my challenging the ISBA, they became very upset and promptly stopped all discussion about court action they had threatened against Mr. Winther. However, he informs me, the association is still growing. Look in on www.businessastrologers.com and see what they have to say.
Mogens tell us that the business astrology fellows have had quite a lot of unforseen bad luck. Their stock market "goldie" prediction for the year 2000 did not follow their rocket climbing astrological predictions, but instead ended up being among the ten worst investments for that year. Mogens also tells us of a further reversal.... In Scandinavia there has been quite some stir among astrologers due to a recent Worker Protection law accepted in the Finnish Parliament. This law directly refers to an international declaration which strictly warns against the use of graphology and astrology:
[This law] provides that personality tests or any similar testing procedures should be consistent with the provisions of the code and not be conducted against the worker's will. . . . National laws or regulations specifying the extent to which the consent of workers' representatives or works councils is required and the requirements governing the administration of such tests (for example, that the tests be validated) will supplement this provision of the code. In this regard, the use of astrology, graphology and the like should be precluded. Both astrology and graphology, as well as biorhythms, have been widely used in Europe, in India, and in Asia for determining if applicants are suitable for certain positions. We can only wonder if this new law will survive the angry objections sure to be made by devout believers.....
Incredible. Just incredible. We're accustomed to getting very bizarre propositions at the JREF. The groans let out down the hall by Andrew Harter are sufficient indication of many such that I just never get to see. Generally speaking, the real howlers are sent in by lay persons with no scientific credentials or knowledge. Occasionally, someone with proper credentials drops in with claimed validation (most frequently of dowsing/divining abilities) that must be taken more seriously. There exists a journal titled, "Frontier Perspectives" which is published by the Center for Frontier Sciences at Temple University, Philadelphia. It purports to be a scientific journal, but is so chock full of pseudoscience and quackery, that Professor John Allen Paulos of Temple University, author of "Innumeracy," reports that the faculty of Temple is embarrassed by the journal. Consider the claim of one Dr. Amrit Sorli of the Institute for Meditation and Spiritual Growth in Frosini, Italy. He informs us that "The publication in Frontier Perspectives gives [his] results credibility." Let's examine what was published, and consider the degree of credibility thus conferred. First, there were serious and understandable language problems in Dr. Sorli's account, none of which were addressed or corrected by the Frontier Perspectives editor, though the experimental setup was thus rendered undecipherable. I did the best I could to make sense of the report and revise it, and I wrote the author via e-mail:
Let me try to reconstruct your experiment. I refer to the experiment done August to September of 1988 at Ljubljana, Yugoslavia. Please tell me if I have any of the details incorrect:
You used two sealable glass ampules. One was the experimental ampule, the other was the control ampule. In the experimental ampule you placed 70 grams of live California worms. You also placed inside, unsealed and upright, another small glass tube containing 0.25 ml of a 36% aqueous solution of formaldehyde. You prepared the control ampule containing 70 ml of distilled water and a similar small glass tube, unsealed and upright, with 0.25 ml of a 36% aqueous solution of formaldehyde. You hermetically sealed both ampules by melting the tips, and washed them with an ethanol solution, and dried them. You set them aside for one hour. You then weighed both tubes (3 times) at intervals of five minutes. You then inverted the tubes to spill the formaldehyde into the other contents of each tube. You then weighed the tubes at intervals of 15 minutes. Dr. Sorli would not answer whether this was essentially a correct description of his experiment. In fact, as you will see, he was very reluctant to respond in any useful way, and eventually slammed the door on further communication with me, even though he had initially written me to make application for the million-dollar prize. The reported results of the experimental procedure I tried to describe above, were that three minutes after the tubes were inverted (and the worms were poisoned) Sorli found an increase in the weight of the experimental ampule amounting to an average of 60 micrograms, followed immediately by a decrease of weight to 90 micrograms below the initial weight. He stated his conclusions:
The experiment shows that there is some unknown energy concentrated in living organisms and that this energy leaves the organism at the time of death. It is energy that science do not know yet. (Essentially, this is the same claim that has been made many times in the past by spiritualists who have attempted to weigh souls. It appears that to determine the average weight of a worm's soul, Dr. Sorli only needs to divide 90 micrograms by the number of worms he murdered....) A short pause here. That last claim, of his measurements, demands examination. Dr. Sorli says that he is able to detect a change that amounts to less than one millionth of the weight of the experimental tube! And, he writes (I have made minor corrections for clarity):
The size of both tubes must be equal because the humidity of the air is changing constantly and so condensation of moisture on the tubes is different. By changing of the temperature of the tubes the condensation of the humidity becomes different, so I measured the temperature of both test tubes with a sensitive thermometer. Back in the 1970s, I used a sensitive electronic scale of the sort that Dr. Sorli says he used, though I'm sure the technology has moved forward greatly since then. I found that if I reached well beyond the reasonable needs of my experiment, I could detect the weight of a fingerprint on a test-tube! This explains why I asked Dr. Sorli how he had handled the tubes during the weighing procedure. But surely, possible condensation of moisture from the surrounding atmosphere would amount to many times the weight of the substances that constitute a fingerprint? The variables present in his experiment, as described, are orders of magnitude above the differences he believes he measured, in my opinion. To return to the experiment: Basically, this means that somehow there has been a loss of weight of 90 micrograms in a closed system from which nothing could escape but energy. If true, this is an absolutely revolutionary discovery, one that would change the entire face of science as we know it. But Dr. Sorli also invoked Einstein's famous equation E=mc2 to resolve the matter-to-energy situation. Please be sure that you're seated for this part of his claim. He concludes (corrections made):
According to [the Einstein] formula, transforming 93.6 micrograms of matter into energy releases 2X109 calories [two gigacalories] of energy. In the experiment no such energy release was observed. This means that energy that enters into a living organism and leaves at the time of death does not belong to gravitational, electromagnetic, strong, or weak nuclear force energies. The momentary increase of the weight after poisoning shows that the organism is in active relation with this unknown vacuum energy, and that this energy is essential for its functioning. (I must comment here that Frontier Perspectives ran the first sentence in the above excerpt as, "According to formula E = mcc, by transforming 93.6 micrograms of matter into energy releases 2 X 10 E9 calorie of energy." The editor apparently saw this as a quite proper and clear account.)
(Aside: a friend has suggested to me this interesting possibility: since we know that many more souls go to Hell than to Heaven, and they are obviously chock-full of energy, that could be the explanation for the high temperatures said to be in effect in Hell. I mean, if a mere handful of worms provides two million kilocalories to that environment Down Below, imagine how much Osama Bin Laden will put out! Just a thought....) I was puzzled at Dr. Sorli's statement:
The pressure in both test tubes was one atmosphere for the entire duration of the experiment; the temperature in both test tubes was the same. He could have no authority for this statement. He had no way of measuring the pressure, nor the temperature inside the tubes. The biological activity inside the experimental tube could raise both the temperature and the pressure. Also, he wrote:
Neither the pressure nor the temperature could have, therefore, been the cause for the difference in weight. This is a very puzzling statement. How could it ever be imagined by any informed person, that pressure or temperature could in any way affect the weight of an object? A kilogram of water or of any substance still weighs a kilogram, whether the substance is in the form of ice, or liquid! Similarly, at any pressure, one kilogram of water always weighs one kilogram! A graph provided by Dr. Sorli is incorrectly presented. Though he only had a few data points, he invented a curve, when only a bar graph could be used to represent such data. And, I cannot understand how he could possibly know that "The weight of the worms increased in the first 3 minutes after the poisoning . . ." if the first weighing after the poisoning was made 15 minutes later. He offered no explanation of this, even after I addressed a specific question to it. I find his description of his experiment to be incomplete, vague, contradictory, and rambling. Such an experiment, if properly performed, should be an adequate one if it is actually as I have reconstructed here but from what I see, there are several problems with it, as he has described it. For example, when the first (before poisoning) weighings were performed, were they all done by the same person? If so, since that person would undoubtedly have been aware that all three weighings were confidently expected to be the same, those measurements should have been done "blind" by three persons. Similarly, and for the same reasons, were the second (after poisoning) weighings also all done by the same person? Was that person (or persons) aware of the expected results? When we are looking for differences of one-millionth in measurements, those measurements require much more care and distribution. Could it be I suspect it was that Dr. Sorli himself did all these weighings, without any independent input? I wrote for information from Dr. Sorli, repeating basic questions I'd previously asked, but to which he'd not responded, and this time I also inquired about his doctorate, since to be very candid with you, I could not picture a genuine scientist exhibiting the seeming lack of basic scientific knowledge shown by this man. He responded (corrections were not made to this selection):
Daer James Interesting indeed. It appears that Dr. Sorli believes that "psychics" bend specially-manufactured forks which I've never heard of nor suspected, aside from the one that follows this item on this week's page but this is the over-application of technology that the uninformed often resort to. It also seems that the Dr. has no intention of answering simple, direct, inquiries. I wonder why. I also wonder whether Frontier Perspectives ever asked him about his academic standing.... Just as we "go to press" with this item, a note has been received from Dr. Sorli. He writes (corrections made):
The only causes for a difference of weight can be that something goes out at the time of death or that the cause of the weight [change] is condensation of humidity. Agreed! Now we at least have Dr. Sorli allowing for the possibility of another modus for the effect reported! And that is where this application by Dr. Sorli for the JREF million-dollar prize now stands. Just to reinforce the status of this journal Frontier Perspectives, in another article in the same issue, dealing with "geopathic zones" ("dangerous sites on the Earth's surface") which, readers are told, are associated with
the crossing of subterranean water flows at various depths (magnetic-hydrodynamic anomalies) with geological fractures (gravitational anomalies) and also with the sites where they cross the lay [sic] lines of the so-called energetic networks we're assured by the author, who works at the Research-Practical Center of Traditional Medicine and Homeopathy of the Ministry of Health, Russian Federation, that these zones are
investigated by dowsers, using a pendulum or wires frames. Now, if that's not real science, I ask you.....! As further evidence of the validity of this journal, I ask you to recall that it was in those pages that Dr. Jacques Benveniste first announced his startling discovery that homeopathic "vibrations" could be sent over the Internet from a sample of homeopathic water in France, to a container of quite ordinary tap water anywhere in the world. This scientific breakthrough earned him his second IgNobel Prize, which I had the delight to deliver to him in absentia.... Is there no end to the contributions that Frontier Perspectives makes to science? Frontier Perspectives journal says that its intention is
. . . to provide an unbiased professional forum for research and discussion of topics including investigation of anomalous phenomena that lie outside the conventional disciplines of science. Research articles are selected for publication on the basis of scholarship, as determined by peer review, and can be either supportive, critical, or neutral toward the reality of any anomalous phenomenon. . . . The goal of the journal is to make available high quality reports, reviews, and commentary for use by researchers, teachers, students, and the general public. "Scholarship"? "High quality"? "Peer review"? Get real!
Prediction: Uri Geller will be suing Toyota. The latest affront to the sanctified art of spoon-bending has just appeared in a TV commercial in which a psychic performing at a psi lab, trying to bend a spoon "with his mind" looks out the window and sees the newest model of Toyota, and the spoon curls up all by itself. Geller says that he originated this effect not true and he's very jealous of anyone using it. He sued Timex Watch a few years ago for daring to have a TV actor do one of his numbers, and lost the case. Which reminds me: go to www.hanklee.net/hankievision/index.html and click on "The Bending Fork." You'll see the latest technological wonder that allows anyone (who can afford it, at $695!) to do cutlery-bending without any sleight-of-hand or psychic forces! Of course I prefer the old-fashioned way that works with just any old fork or spoon, but it might be nice to have one of these, just to fool the occasional magician.....
We hear that Tribune Entertainment Company has sold its series, "Beyond With James Van Praagh," in 58% of the U.S. TVmarkets. The guessing-game will run for an hour starting in the Fall of this year. Dick Askin, president and CEO of the company, is quoted as saying
We are delighted with the enthusiastic response this strip is receiving from station general managers. James Van Praagh is considered 'the dean' of psychics with a phenomenal following. He appeals to a wide array of viewers intrigued by life's mysteries and his personal presentation takes this form of television to the next level. No, at least two levels. Down. Van Praagh is the author of "Talking to Heaven," "Reaching to Heaven," and "Heaven and Earth,"which seems to indicate that he has discovered a buzz-word that sells books. Timed perfectly to promote this cruel game, the CBS TV network will present a four-hour prime time miniseries on Van Praagh's life, starring Ted Danson as the acclaimed "psychic." In a shameless gush, Donna Harrison, senior VP at Tribune added:
From active criminal and missing persons cases to riveting family dramas, "Beyond with James Van Praagh" brings emotion, celebration and mystique to the daytime landscape. Even the most skeptical of viewers will become engaged by James' unique talents. Not at all to my surprise, the series will be produced by the same person who produced "The Maury Povich Show" and "Sally Jessy Raphael." But there's a ray of hope here. From what I see on my e-mail, viewers are beginning to see through the "cold reading" process, now that John Edward is so prominently seen on TV. Add another performer using the same technique, and soon it will be evident to the most dedicated dupe that it's a guessing game, not a miracle. And, the more shows these guys do, the greater the chance that those who work the behind-the-scenes ropes, will defect and tell all....
About last week's poster.... "appearing" is the operative word. My face slowly appears..... Get it? And yes, that was a repeat of the "Down Under" dowsing story. Sorry. I knew I'd done it somewhere, but didn't recall that it was right here. As my buddy Jerry Andrus would say, "I had another attack of salinity."
|